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Residential - Vacant LandResidential
$557,603
TopHap EstimateOur estimate of what this home would sell for today, based on nearby sales, the home's size and features, and local price trends. It is a starting point, not an appraisal.· confidence 91How well the pricing models agreed with each other on this home. Higher means the estimate rests on stronger, more consistent data.· as of Aug 30, 2026
Last sold for $437,264 on Sep 2, 2026

14957 W SMOKETREE DR

SURPRISE, AZ 85387
0
Baths
0.17 ac
Lot SizeThe size of the land the home sits on, from county records.
3
ParkingThe number of parking spaces on the property, including the garage.

Valuation

$558K
$506K low$609K high
Last SaleThe most recent sale price and date from the recorded deed. Transfers between family members or companies may not reflect market value.$437,264 · Sep 2, 2026

Tax & Assessment

Property TaxThe property tax billed for this tax year. It usually pays for schools, roads, and local services.$157 (2025)
Assessed ValueThe value the county assigns to this home to calculate property tax. It is often lower than what the home would sell for.$1,722 (2025)
Assessed LandThe share of the county's assessed value that comes from the land itself, not the buildings.$1,722
Assessor Market ValueThe county assessor's own opinion of market value. It is separate from our estimate and updates on the county's schedule.$26,700

Climate Risk

Overall riskThe average of the five hazard scores below, on a 0 to 100 scale. Higher means greater projected risk over the coming decades.65
84
FloodProjected flooding risk from rivers, heavy rain, and storm surge, scored 0 to 100. Higher is riskier.
75
WildfireProjected wildfire risk, scored 0 to 100, based on how much land burns in a typical year. Higher is riskier.
81
HeatProjected heat risk, scored 0 to 100, based on how many extremely hot days a year are expected. Higher is riskier.
2
StormProjected risk from heavy rainstorms, scored 0 to 100, based on how often extreme rainfall is expected. Higher is riskier.
85
DroughtProjected water shortage risk, scored 0 to 100. Higher means more strain on the local water supply.
Projected Flood DepthHow deep a serious flood is expected to get here at some point in the next 30 years. Shown in inches.49 in
30-Year Flood ChanceThe chance of at least one serious flood here in the next 30 years, not in any single year.51%
FEMA Flood ZoneFEMA's flood zone for this address. Zones starting with A or V are high risk, and lenders usually require flood insurance there.1 percent flood zone

Scores 0–100; higher = greater projected risk.

Property Facts

Property TypeThe broad category the county puts this property in, such as residential or commercial.Residential - Vacant Land
CountyMARICOPA
Lot (acres)The size of the land the home sits on, from county records.0.17
PoolWhether the property has a pool, and what kind, such as in-ground.No
FeaturesExtra features found in county records. Records are not complete everywhere, so a missing feature does not always mean the home lacks it.Patio · 182 ft²

Transaction History(3)

Sales and refinances filed with the county for this home. Not every transfer is a normal sale, so check the type before comparing prices.

Assigned SchoolsThe public schools this address is zoned for. Boundaries change, so confirm with the district before you count on it.

E
Asante Preparatory AcademyB
Elementary · Grades PK–8 · 2.4 mi
H
Willow Canyon High SchoolB
High · Grades 9–12 · 6.5 mi

District: Dysart Unified District

Neighborhood · ZIP 85387These are comparison scores, not percentages. 100 equals the national average, so 150 means about 50% above average.

CrimeLocal crime compared with the rest of the country, where 100 is average. It reflects things like population density, income, and how crime gets reported.51
Air pollutionOverall air pollution compared with the rest of the country, where 100 is average. Lower is cleaner.99
EarthquakeEarthquake risk and likely building damage compared with the rest of the country, where 100 is average. Scores can run far above 100.53

Index scale: 100 = US average (tick). Lower is better.

Homes occupiedThe share of homes here that someone lives in. The rest sit empty, including vacation and for-sale homes.87%
Bachelor's or higherThe share of adults 25 and older whose highest degree is a bachelor's degree.26%
Poverty rateThe share of people whose household income falls below the federal poverty line, which varies by family size.3.9%
UnemploymentThe share of men 16 and older who are out of work and actively looking. Only men are counted in this figure.0.7%
PopulationHow many people live in this area.19,049
DensityPeople per square mile. Higher numbers mean a more crowded, urban area.259 / mi²
Median incomeThe middle household income here — half of households earn more, half earn less.$89,157
Average incomeThe average household income. It runs higher than the median when a few high earners pull it up.$108,259
Average tempThe average temperature here across a full year.70°F
Annual precipHow much rain and melted snow falls here in a typical year.10 in
SunshineThe share of daylight hours that get direct sun in a typical year, counting cloud cover.86%

Owner Tools

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Data by ATTOM. Valuations are automated estimates, not appraisals. Photos from Google Street View and may not depict the current property state.

How this home compares

14957 W Smoketree Dr measured against every home in its neighborhood, its ZIP code and its county, using county assessor records refreshed nightly. A home can stand out in one of those areas and look ordinary in another, because each one holds a different mix of homes.

  • Worth more than 73% of homes in Surprise 85387

What homes are worth in Surprise 85387

Each bar is how many homes fall in that price range. The marker is this home.

This home
$339K$956K

This home is worth more than 73% of homes in Surprise 85387.

How it measures up in Surprise 85387

The dot is this home. The mark in the middle is the typical home in Surprise 85387.

Estimated value$557,603
CheaperTypical $471,064Pricier

Pricier than 73% of homes nearby

Lot size0.17 ac
SmallerTypical 0.16 acBigger

Bigger than 51% of homes nearby

How 14957 W Smoketree Dr ranks against every home in each area.
MeasureThis homeSurprise 85387Maricopa County
Estimated valuepricier than$557,60373% of homes66% of homes
Lot sizebigger than0.17 ac51% of homes50% of homes

About 14957 W Smoketree Dr

How much is 14957 W Smoketree Dr, Surprise, AZ worth?

The TopHap Estimate for 14957 W Smoketree Dr, Surprise, AZ is $557,603 as of Aug 30, 2026. The likely range is $506,096 to $609,110. The estimate is modelled from recorded sales, assessments and the property's own characteristics — it is not an appraisal.

When did 14957 W Smoketree Dr, Surprise, AZ last sell?

14957 W Smoketree Dr, Surprise, AZ last sold on Sep 2, 2026 for $437,264, according to the county's recorded deed. TopHap holds 3 recorded sales for this parcel.

What schools serve 14957 W Smoketree Dr, Surprise, AZ?

14957 W Smoketree Dr, Surprise, AZ is assigned to Asante Preparatory Academy (elementary), rated B; Willow Canyon High School (high), rated B. All sit in Dysart Unified District. Attendance boundaries change — confirm with the district before relying on an assignment.

How does 14957 W Smoketree Dr, Surprise, AZ compare to other homes in Surprise 85387?

Among the 16,320 homes in Surprise 85387, it is worth more than 73% of them ($557,603 against a typical $471,064) and its lot is bigger than 51% of them (0.17 ac against a typical 0.16 ac). Measured against all of Maricopa County, it is worth more than 66% of homes there. These shares are recounted nightly from the full county assessor record for each area, not from active listings.

What are the property taxes on 14957 W Smoketree Dr, Surprise, AZ?

The 2025 property tax bill for 14957 W Smoketree Dr, Surprise, AZ was $157. The county assessed it at $1,722.

More homes on W Smoketree Dr

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Assigned schools

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