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Single Family ResidenceResidential
$313,643$150 / ft²
TopHap EstimateOur estimate of what this home would sell for today, based on nearby sales, the home's size and features, and local price trends. It is a starting point, not an appraisal.· confidence 89How well the pricing models agreed with each other on this home. Higher means the estimate rests on stronger, more consistent data.· as of Sep 24, 2026
Last sold for $60,000 on Jun 4, 2014

2651 ROSE MILL RD

ARRINGTON, VA 22922
2
Baths
2,086 ft²
Living AreaTotal finished area of the structures, from county records. Some counties include shared space like hallways or a building gym, so it may not match a listing.
8.78 ac
Lot SizeThe size of the land the home sits on, from county records.
1893
Year BuiltThe year the home was originally built, according to county records.
2
StoriesHow many floors the home has above ground.
4
RoomsThe total room count in county records. Counties differ on which rooms they count, so compare it loosely.

Valuation

$314K
$278K low$350K high
Last SaleThe most recent sale price and date from the recorded deed. Transfers between family members or companies may not reflect market value.$60,000 · Jun 4, 2014

Tax & Assessment

Property TaxThe property tax billed for this tax year. It usually pays for schools, roads, and local services.$1,214 (2026)
Assessed ValueThe value the county assigns to this home to calculate property tax. It is often lower than what the home would sell for.$260,400 (2026)
Assessed LandThe share of the county's assessed value that comes from the land itself, not the buildings.$74,700
Assessed ImprovementsThe share of the county's assessed value that comes from the buildings and other structures on the land.$185,700
Previous AssessedThe county's assessed value from the year before, useful for seeing how the assessment changed.$215,800
Assessor Market ValueThe county assessor's own opinion of market value. It is separate from our estimate and updates on the county's schedule.$260,400

Climate Risk

Overall riskThe average of the five hazard scores below, on a 0 to 100 scale. Higher means greater projected risk over the coming decades.62
87
FloodProjected flooding risk from rivers, heavy rain, and storm surge, scored 0 to 100. Higher is riskier.
32
WildfireProjected wildfire risk, scored 0 to 100, based on how much land burns in a typical year. Higher is riskier.
82
HeatProjected heat risk, scored 0 to 100, based on how many extremely hot days a year are expected. Higher is riskier.
93
StormProjected risk from heavy rainstorms, scored 0 to 100, based on how often extreme rainfall is expected. Higher is riskier.
20
DroughtProjected water shortage risk, scored 0 to 100. Higher means more strain on the local water supply.
Projected Flood DepthHow deep a serious flood is expected to get here at some point in the next 30 years. Shown in inches.106 in
30-Year Flood ChanceThe chance of at least one serious flood here in the next 30 years, not in any single year.51%
FEMA Flood ZoneFEMA's flood zone for this address. Zones starting with A or V are high risk, and lenders usually require flood insurance there.1 percent flood zone

Scores 0–100; higher = greater projected risk.

Property Facts

Property TypeThe broad category the county puts this property in, such as residential or commercial.Single Family Residence
StyleThe architectural style of the home, such as ranch or colonial.Conventional
CountyNELSON
Lot (acres)The size of the land the home sits on, from county records.8.78
ConstructionThe main material the home's frame and walls are built from.Frame (Unspecified)
RoofThe main material covering the roof, such as asphalt shingle or tile.Metal
HeatingThe type of heating system in the home.None
FireplaceWhether the home has a fireplace, and what kind.Yes
PoolWhether the property has a pool, and what kind, such as in-ground.No
FeaturesExtra features found in county records. Records are not complete everywhere, so a missing feature does not always mean the home lacks it.Deck · 315 ft²Porch · 98 ft²

Transaction History(2)

Sales and refinances filed with the county for this home. Not every transfer is a normal sale, so check the type before comparing prices.

Assigned SchoolsThe public schools this address is zoned for. Boundaries change, so confirm with the district before you count on it.

E
Tye River Elementary SchoolB-
Elementary · Grades PK–5 · 4.8 mi
H
Nelson County High SchoolC-
High · Grades 9–12 · 5.9 mi
M
Nelson Middle SchoolB+
Middle · Grades 6–8 · 6.0 mi

District: Nelson County Public Schools

Neighborhood · ZIP 22922These are comparison scores, not percentages. 100 equals the national average, so 150 means about 50% above average.

CrimeLocal crime compared with the rest of the country, where 100 is average. It reflects things like population density, income, and how crime gets reported.107
Air pollutionOverall air pollution compared with the rest of the country, where 100 is average. Lower is cleaner.91
EarthquakeEarthquake risk and likely building damage compared with the rest of the country, where 100 is average. Scores can run far above 100.74

Index scale: 100 = US average (tick). Lower is better.

Homes occupiedThe share of homes here that someone lives in. The rest sit empty, including vacation and for-sale homes.85%
Bachelor's or higherThe share of adults 25 and older whose highest degree is a bachelor's degree.16%
Poverty rateThe share of people whose household income falls below the federal poverty line, which varies by family size.16%
UnemploymentThe share of men 16 and older who are out of work and actively looking. Only men are counted in this figure.0.7%
PopulationHow many people live in this area.1,827
DensityPeople per square mile. Higher numbers mean a more crowded, urban area.35 / mi²
Median incomeThe middle household income here — half of households earn more, half earn less.$59,107
Average incomeThe average household income. It runs higher than the median when a few high earners pull it up.$78,518
Average tempThe average temperature here across a full year.56°F
Annual precipHow much rain and melted snow falls here in a typical year.47 in
SunshineThe share of daylight hours that get direct sun in a typical year, counting cloud cover.63%

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Data by ATTOM. Valuations are automated estimates, not appraisals. Photos from Google Street View and may not depict the current property state.

How this home compares

2651 Rose Mill Rd measured against every home in its neighborhood, its ZIP code and its county, using county assessor records refreshed nightly. A home can stand out in one of those areas and look ordinary in another, because each one holds a different mix of homes.

  • Worth more than 82% of homes in Arrington 22922
  • Costs less per square foot than 81% of homes in Nelson County
  • Bigger than 84% of homes in Arrington 22922
  • Has a bigger lot than 81% of homes in Nelson County
  • Older than 97% of homes in Nelson County

What homes are worth in Arrington 22922

Each bar is how many homes fall in that price range. The marker is this home.

This home
$41K$696K

This home is worth more than 82% of homes in Arrington 22922.

How it measures up in Arrington 22922

The dot is this home. The mark in the middle is the typical home in Arrington 22922.

Estimated value$313,643
CheaperTypical $159,015Pricier

Pricier than 82% of homes nearby

Price per ft²$150
CheaperTypical $158Pricier

Pricier than 45% of homes nearby

Living area2,086 ft²
SmallerTypical 1,421 ft²Bigger

Bigger than 84% of homes nearby

Lot size8.78 ac
SmallerTypical 2.39 acBigger

Bigger than 80% of homes nearby

Year built1893
OlderTypical 1984Newer

Newer than 4% of homes nearby

How 2651 Rose Mill Rd ranks against every home in each area.
MeasureThis homeArrington 22922Nelson County
Estimated valuepricier than$313,64382% of homes60% of homes
Price per ft²pricier than$15045% of homes19% of homes
Living areabigger than2,086 ft²84% of homes78% of homes
Lot sizebigger than8.78 ac80% of homes81% of homes
Year builtnewer than18934% of homes3% of homes

About 2651 Rose Mill Rd

How much is 2651 Rose Mill Rd, Arrington, VA worth?

The TopHap Estimate for 2651 Rose Mill Rd, Arrington, VA is $313,643 as of Sep 24, 2026. The likely range is $277,730 to $349,556. The estimate is modelled from recorded sales, assessments and the property's own characteristics — it is not an appraisal.

When did 2651 Rose Mill Rd, Arrington, VA last sell?

2651 Rose Mill Rd, Arrington, VA last sold on Jun 4, 2014 for $60,000, according to the county's recorded deed.

How big is 2651 Rose Mill Rd, Arrington, VA?

2651 Rose Mill Rd, Arrington, VA has 2 bathrooms, 2,086 square feet of living space and a 8.78-acre lot.

When was 2651 Rose Mill Rd, Arrington, VA built?

2651 Rose Mill Rd, Arrington, VA was built in 1893, making it 133 years old. It is a conventional home. The building has 2 stories.

What schools serve 2651 Rose Mill Rd, Arrington, VA?

2651 Rose Mill Rd, Arrington, VA is assigned to Tye River Elementary School (elementary), rated B-; Nelson County High School (high), rated C-; Nelson Middle School (middle), rated B+. All sit in Nelson County Public Schools. Attendance boundaries change — confirm with the district before relying on an assignment.

How does 2651 Rose Mill Rd, Arrington, VA compare to other homes in Arrington 22922?

Among the 1,426 homes in Arrington 22922, it is worth more than 82% of them ($313,643 against a typical $159,015), its price per square foot is higher than 45% of them ($150 against a typical $158), it is bigger than 84% of them (2,086 ft² against a typical 1,421 ft²), its lot is bigger than 80% of them (8.78 ac against a typical 2.39 ac) and it is newer than 4% of them (1893 against a typical 1984). Measured against all of Nelson County, it is worth more than 60% of homes there. These shares are recounted nightly from the full county assessor record for each area, not from active listings.

What are the property taxes on 2651 Rose Mill Rd, Arrington, VA?

The 2026 property tax bill for 2651 Rose Mill Rd, Arrington, VA was $1,214. The county assessed it at $260,400.

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