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Single Family ResidenceResidential
$803,614$262 / ft²
TopHap EstimateOur estimate of what this home would sell for today, based on nearby sales, the home's size and features, and local price trends. It is a starting point, not an appraisal.· confidence 94How well the pricing models agreed with each other on this home. Higher means the estimate rests on stronger, more consistent data.· as of Jul 14, 2026
Last sold for $625,000 on Apr 30, 2013

2821 RIVER RD

MODESTO, CA 95351
4
Beds
3
Baths
3,062 ft²
Living AreaTotal finished area of the structures, from county records. Some counties include shared space like hallways or a building gym, so it may not match a listing.
1.8 ac
Lot SizeThe size of the land the home sits on, from county records.
2010
Year BuiltThe year the home was originally built, according to county records.
3
ParkingThe number of parking spaces on the property, including the garage.

Valuation

$804K
$753K low$854K high
Last SaleThe most recent sale price and date from the recorded deed. Transfers between family members or companies may not reflect market value.$625,000 · Apr 30, 2013
Est. Owner EquityRoughly how much of the home's value the owner would keep after paying off known loans. It is our estimate minus the loans still owed.$326,114
Est. Lendable EquityThe part of the owner's equity a lender would typically let them borrow against — about 80% of their equity.$260,891
Loan-to-ValueHow much is still owed on the home compared to what it is worth. 80% means loans equal 80% of our estimate, so it shifts when the estimate does.56%
1st MortgageA loan still believed to be open on this home, in the order lenders get repaid. The first position is paid back before the second.$415,000
GOOGAIN INC · P · recorded Apr 30, 2013
2nd MortgageA loan still believed to be open on this home, in the order lenders get repaid. The first position is paid back before the second.$62,500
PRIVATE LENDER

Tax & Assessment

Property TaxThe property tax billed for this tax year. It usually pays for schools, roads, and local services.$9,094 (2025)
Assessed ValueThe value the county assigns to this home to calculate property tax. It is often lower than what the home would sell for.$769,632 (2025)
Assessed LandThe share of the county's assessed value that comes from the land itself, not the buildings.$197,024
Assessed ImprovementsThe share of the county's assessed value that comes from the buildings and other structures on the land.$572,608
Previous AssessedThe county's assessed value from the year before, useful for seeing how the assessment changed.$769,632

Climate Risk

Overall riskThe average of the five hazard scores below, on a 0 to 100 scale. Higher means greater projected risk over the coming decades.56
99
FloodProjected flooding risk from rivers, heavy rain, and storm surge, scored 0 to 100. Higher is riskier.
78
WildfireProjected wildfire risk, scored 0 to 100, based on how much land burns in a typical year. Higher is riskier.
49
HeatProjected heat risk, scored 0 to 100, based on how many extremely hot days a year are expected. Higher is riskier.
11
StormProjected risk from heavy rainstorms, scored 0 to 100, based on how often extreme rainfall is expected. Higher is riskier.
45
DroughtProjected water shortage risk, scored 0 to 100. Higher means more strain on the local water supply.
Projected Flood DepthHow deep a serious flood is expected to get here at some point in the next 30 years. Shown in inches.197 in
30-Year Flood ChanceThe chance of at least one serious flood here in the next 30 years, not in any single year.51%
FEMA Flood ZoneFEMA's flood zone for this address. Zones starting with A or V are high risk, and lenders usually require flood insurance there.1 percent flood zone

Scores 0–100; higher = greater projected risk.

Property Facts

Property TypeThe broad category the county puts this property in, such as residential or commercial.Single Family Residence
CountyStanislaus
Lot (acres)The size of the land the home sits on, from county records.1.80
ConstructionThe main material the home's frame and walls are built from.Wood (Unspecified)
HeatingThe type of heating system in the home.Central
CoolingThe type of cooling or air conditioning in the home.Central
FireplaceWhether the home has a fireplace, and what kind.Yes
PoolWhether the property has a pool, and what kind, such as in-ground.Yes

Transaction History(5)

Sales and refinances filed with the county for this home. Not every transfer is a normal sale, so check the type before comparing prices.

Assigned SchoolsThe public schools this address is zoned for. Boundaries change, so confirm with the district before you count on it.

E
Virginia Parks Elementary SchoolB
Elementary · Grades KG–6 · 0.4 mi
M
Mae Hensley Junior HighC
Middle · Grades 7–8 · 1.0 mi
H
Ceres High SchoolB-
High · Grades 9–12 · 1.7 mi

District: Ceres Unified School District

Neighborhood · ZIP 95351These are comparison scores, not percentages. 100 equals the national average, so 150 means about 50% above average.

CrimeLocal crime compared with the rest of the country, where 100 is average. It reflects things like population density, income, and how crime gets reported.105
Air pollutionOverall air pollution compared with the rest of the country, where 100 is average. Lower is cleaner.83
EarthquakeEarthquake risk and likely building damage compared with the rest of the country, where 100 is average. Scores can run far above 100.159

Index scale: 100 = US average (tick). Lower is better.

Homes occupiedThe share of homes here that someone lives in. The rest sit empty, including vacation and for-sale homes.96%
Bachelor's or higherThe share of adults 25 and older whose highest degree is a bachelor's degree.7.0%
Poverty rateThe share of people whose household income falls below the federal poverty line, which varies by family size.18%
UnemploymentThe share of men 16 and older who are out of work and actively looking. Only men are counted in this figure.2.1%
PopulationHow many people live in this area.52,180
DensityPeople per square mile. Higher numbers mean a more crowded, urban area.5,963 / mi²
Median incomeThe middle household income here — half of households earn more, half earn less.$55,315
Average incomeThe average household income. It runs higher than the median when a few high earners pull it up.$72,592
Average tempThe average temperature here across a full year.61°F
Annual precipHow much rain and melted snow falls here in a typical year.13 in
SunshineThe share of daylight hours that get direct sun in a typical year, counting cloud cover.78%

Ownership

OccupancyWhether the owner appears to live here or somewhere else. It is inferred from the mailing address on record.Owner occupied
Company ownedWhether the owner is a company or trust rather than a person.No

Data by ATTOM. Valuations are automated estimates, not appraisals. Photos from Google Street View and may not depict the current property state.

How this home compares

2821 River Rd measured against every home in its neighborhood, its ZIP code and its county, using county assessor records refreshed nightly. A home can stand out in one of those areas and look ordinary in another, because each one holds a different mix of homes.

  • Among the most valuable homes in Modesto 95351
  • Costs less per square foot than 75% of homes in Modesto 95351
  • Among the largest homes in Modesto 95351
  • Has a bigger lot than 97% of homes in Modesto 95351
  • Among the newest homes in Modesto 95351

What homes are worth in Modesto 95351

Each bar is how many homes fall in that price range. The marker is this home.

This home
$200K$629K

This home is worth more than almost all homes in Modesto 95351.

How it measures up in Modesto 95351

The dot is this home. The mark in the middle is the typical home in Modesto 95351.

Estimated value$803,614
CheaperTypical $361,219Pricier

Pricier than almost all homes nearby

Price per ft²$262
CheaperTypical $289Pricier

Pricier than 25% of homes nearby

Living area3,062 ft²
SmallerTypical 1,214 ft²Bigger

Bigger than almost all homes nearby

Lot size1.8 ac
SmallerTypical 0.15 acBigger

Bigger than 97% of homes nearby

Year built2010
OlderTypical 1971Newer

Newer than almost all homes nearby

How 2821 River Rd ranks against every home in each area.
MeasureThis homeModesto 95351Stanislaus County
Estimated valuepricier than$803,614almost all homes95% of homes
Price per ft²pricier than$26225% of homes30% of homes
Living areabigger than3,062 ft²almost all homes95% of homes
Lot sizebigger than1.8 ac97% of homes92% of homes
Year builtnewer than2010almost all homes95% of homes

About 2821 River Rd

How much is 2821 River Rd, Modesto, CA worth?

The TopHap Estimate for 2821 River Rd, Modesto, CA is $803,614 as of Jul 14, 2026. The likely range is $753,318 to $853,910. The estimate is modelled from recorded sales, assessments and the property's own characteristics — it is not an appraisal.

When did 2821 River Rd, Modesto, CA last sell?

2821 River Rd, Modesto, CA last sold on Apr 30, 2013 for $625,000, according to the county's recorded deed. TopHap holds 2 recorded sales for this parcel.

How big is 2821 River Rd, Modesto, CA?

2821 River Rd, Modesto, CA has 4 bedrooms, 3 bathrooms, 3,062 square feet of living space and a 1.80-acre lot.

When was 2821 River Rd, Modesto, CA built?

2821 River Rd, Modesto, CA was built in 2010, making it 16 years old.

What schools serve 2821 River Rd, Modesto, CA?

2821 River Rd, Modesto, CA is assigned to Virginia Parks Elementary School (elementary), rated B; Mae Hensley Junior High (middle), rated C; Ceres High School (high), rated B-. All sit in Ceres Unified School District. Attendance boundaries change — confirm with the district before relying on an assignment.

How does 2821 River Rd, Modesto, CA compare to other homes in Modesto 95351?

Among the 10,182 homes in Modesto 95351, it is worth more than almost all of them ($803,614 against a typical $361,219), its price per square foot is higher than 25% of them ($262 against a typical $289), it is bigger than almost all of them (3,062 ft² against a typical 1,214 ft²), its lot is bigger than 97% of them (1.8 ac against a typical 0.15 ac) and it is newer than almost all of them (2010 against a typical 1971). Measured against all of Stanislaus County, it is worth more than 95% of homes there. These shares are recounted nightly from the full county assessor record for each area, not from active listings.

What are the property taxes on 2821 River Rd, Modesto, CA?

The 2025 property tax bill for 2821 River Rd, Modesto, CA was $9,094. The county assessed it at $769,632.

Closest homes

More homes in Modesto 95351

Assigned schools

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