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Single Family ResidenceResidential
$724,673$250 / ft²
TopHap EstimateOur estimate of what this home would sell for today, based on nearby sales, the home's size and features, and local price trends. It is a starting point, not an appraisal.· confidence 92How well the pricing models agreed with each other on this home. Higher means the estimate rests on stronger, more consistent data.· as of Oct 21, 2026
Last sold for $812,500 on May 27, 2021

3193 WILLOW RUN DR

MERCED, CA 95340
3
Beds
2.5
Baths
2,903 ft²
Living AreaTotal finished area of the structures, from county records. Some counties include shared space like hallways or a building gym, so it may not match a listing.
1 ac
Lot SizeThe size of the land the home sits on, from county records.
2000
Year BuiltThe year the home was originally built, according to county records.
1
StoriesHow many floors the home has above ground.
6
RoomsThe total room count in county records. Counties differ on which rooms they count, so compare it loosely.
4
ParkingThe number of parking spaces on the property, including the garage.

Valuation

$725K
$668K low$781K high
Last SaleThe most recent sale price and date from the recorded deed. Transfers between family members or companies may not reflect market value.$812,500 · May 27, 2021

Tax & Assessment

Assessed ValueThe value the county assigns to this home to calculate property tax. It is often lower than what the home would sell for.$500,141 (2026)
Assessed LandThe share of the county's assessed value that comes from the land itself, not the buildings.$187,551
Assessed ImprovementsThe share of the county's assessed value that comes from the buildings and other structures on the land.$312,590
Previous AssessedThe county's assessed value from the year before, useful for seeing how the assessment changed.$490,335

Climate Risk

Overall riskThe average of the five hazard scores below, on a 0 to 100 scale. Higher means greater projected risk over the coming decades.47
30
FloodProjected flooding risk from rivers, heavy rain, and storm surge, scored 0 to 100. Higher is riskier.
74
WildfireProjected wildfire risk, scored 0 to 100, based on how much land burns in a typical year. Higher is riskier.
59
HeatProjected heat risk, scored 0 to 100, based on how many extremely hot days a year are expected. Higher is riskier.
12
StormProjected risk from heavy rainstorms, scored 0 to 100, based on how often extreme rainfall is expected. Higher is riskier.
64
DroughtProjected water shortage risk, scored 0 to 100. Higher means more strain on the local water supply.
Projected Flood DepthHow deep a serious flood is expected to get here at some point in the next 30 years. Shown in inches.5 in
30-Year Flood ChanceThe chance of at least one serious flood here in the next 30 years, not in any single year.30%
FEMA Flood ZoneFEMA's flood zone for this address. Zones starting with A or V are high risk, and lenders usually require flood insurance there.minimal

Scores 0–100; higher = greater projected risk.

Property Facts

Property TypeThe broad category the county puts this property in, such as residential or commercial.Single Family Residence
CountyMERCED
ConstructionThe main material the home's frame and walls are built from.Wood (Unspecified)
HeatingThe type of heating system in the home.Central
CoolingThe type of cooling or air conditioning in the home.Central
FireplaceWhether the home has a fireplace, and what kind.Yes
GarageWhether the property has a garage, and details like whether it is attached to the home.Garage, Attached
PoolWhether the property has a pool, and what kind, such as in-ground.No

Transaction History(5)

Sales and refinances filed with the county for this home. Not every transfer is a normal sale, so check the type before comparing prices.

Assigned SchoolsThe public schools this address is zoned for. Boundaries change, so confirm with the district before you count on it.

E
Givens Elementary SchoolC-
Elementary · Grades KG–6 · 1.3 mi
M
Cruickshank Middle SchoolC
Middle · Grades 7–8 · 1.8 mi
H
Golden Valley High SchoolC-
High · Grades 9–12 · 2.3 mi

District: Merced City Elementary School District

Neighborhood · ZIP 95340These are comparison scores, not percentages. 100 equals the national average, so 150 means about 50% above average.

CrimeLocal crime compared with the rest of the country, where 100 is average. It reflects things like population density, income, and how crime gets reported.112
Air pollutionOverall air pollution compared with the rest of the country, where 100 is average. Lower is cleaner.80
EarthquakeEarthquake risk and likely building damage compared with the rest of the country, where 100 is average. Scores can run far above 100.106

Index scale: 100 = US average (tick). Lower is better.

Homes occupiedThe share of homes here that someone lives in. The rest sit empty, including vacation and for-sale homes.95%
Bachelor's or higherThe share of adults 25 and older whose highest degree is a bachelor's degree.17%
Poverty rateThe share of people whose household income falls below the federal poverty line, which varies by family size.17%
UnemploymentThe share of men 16 and older who are out of work and actively looking. Only men are counted in this figure.2.6%
PopulationHow many people live in this area.38,692
DensityPeople per square mile. Higher numbers mean a more crowded, urban area.575 / mi²
Median incomeThe middle household income here — half of households earn more, half earn less.$64,992
Average incomeThe average household income. It runs higher than the median when a few high earners pull it up.$92,153
Average tempThe average temperature here across a full year.62°F
Annual precipHow much rain and melted snow falls here in a typical year.12 in
SunshineThe share of daylight hours that get direct sun in a typical year, counting cloud cover.78%

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Data by ATTOM. Valuations are automated estimates, not appraisals. Photos from Google Street View and may not depict the current property state.

How this home compares

3193 Willow Run Dr measured against every home in its neighborhood, its ZIP code and its county, using county assessor records refreshed nightly. A home can stand out in one of those areas and look ordinary in another, because each one holds a different mix of homes.

  • Worth more than 98% of homes in Merced County
  • Costs more per square foot than 65% of homes in Merced 95340
  • Bigger than 95% of homes in Merced County
  • Has a bigger lot than 96% of homes in Merced 95340
  • Newer than 82% of homes in Merced 95340

What homes are worth in Merced 95340

Each bar is how many homes fall in that price range. The marker is this home.

This home
$203K$863K

This home is worth more than 95% of homes in Merced 95340.

How it measures up in Merced 95340

The dot is this home. The mark in the middle is the typical home in Merced 95340.

Estimated value$724,673
CheaperTypical $391,659Pricier

Pricier than 95% of homes nearby

Price per ft²$250
CheaperTypical $238Pricier

Pricier than 65% of homes nearby

Living area2,903 ft²
SmallerTypical 1,659 ft²Bigger

Bigger than 94% of homes nearby

Lot size1 ac
SmallerTypical 0.18 acBigger

Bigger than 96% of homes nearby

Year built2000
OlderTypical 1973Newer

Newer than 82% of homes nearby

How 3193 Willow Run Dr ranks against every home in each area.
MeasureThis homeMerced 95340Merced County
Estimated valuepricier than$724,67395% of homes98% of homes
Price per ft²pricier than$25065% of homes57% of homes
Living areabigger than2,903 ft²94% of homes95% of homes
Lot sizebigger than1 ac96% of homes95% of homes
Year builtnewer than200082% of homes66% of homes

About 3193 Willow Run Dr

How much is 3193 Willow Run Dr, Merced, CA worth?

The TopHap Estimate for 3193 Willow Run Dr, Merced, CA is $724,673 as of Oct 21, 2026. The likely range is $667,981 to $781,365. The estimate is modelled from recorded sales, assessments and the property's own characteristics — it is not an appraisal.

When did 3193 Willow Run Dr, Merced, CA last sell?

3193 Willow Run Dr, Merced, CA last sold on May 27, 2021 for $812,500, according to the county's recorded deed. TopHap holds 2 recorded sales for this parcel.

How big is 3193 Willow Run Dr, Merced, CA?

3193 Willow Run Dr, Merced, CA has 3 bedrooms, 2.5 bathrooms and 2,903 square feet of living space.

When was 3193 Willow Run Dr, Merced, CA built?

3193 Willow Run Dr, Merced, CA was built in 2000, making it 26 years old. The building has 1 story.

What schools serve 3193 Willow Run Dr, Merced, CA?

3193 Willow Run Dr, Merced, CA is assigned to Givens Elementary School (elementary), rated C-; Cruickshank Middle School (middle), rated C; Golden Valley High School (high), rated C-. All sit in Merced City Elementary School District. Attendance boundaries change — confirm with the district before relying on an assignment.

How does 3193 Willow Run Dr, Merced, CA compare to other homes in Merced 95340?

Among the 10,758 homes in Merced 95340, it is worth more than 95% of them ($724,673 against a typical $391,659), its price per square foot is higher than 65% of them ($250 against a typical $238), it is bigger than 94% of them (2,903 ft² against a typical 1,659 ft²), its lot is bigger than 96% of them (1 ac against a typical 0.18 ac) and it is newer than 82% of them (2000 against a typical 1973). Measured against all of Merced County, it is worth more than 98% of homes there. These shares are recounted nightly from the full county assessor record for each area, not from active listings.

More homes on Willow Run Dr

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