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Surprise Farms

Sub-neighborhoodThe kind of area this report covers. Neighborhood areas nest inside each other, from broad districts down to small pockets.ArizonaSeller's market
Market temperatureA 0 to 100 score comparing this area with every similar area nationwide each month. 0 is the strongest buyer's market, 100 the strongest seller's market.Seller's market · 60
Buyer's marketBalancedSeller's market
$415K
Median sale priceThe middle sale price each month, counting normal open-market sales. The average runs above the median when a few expensive sales pull it up. Bars show how many homes sold.
+3.9%
1-yr changeHow much prices and sales counts changed since the same time last year, using a 3-month average to smooth out noise. Above the dashed line means growth.
190
Sales (12 mo)How many homes sold here in the last 12 months. More sales make the other numbers more reliable.
$438K
Median valueThe middle estimated value of all homes here, not just the ones that recently sold.

Deed records through Aug 2026Counties take time to publish deeds, so the newest months can be incomplete and may shift as more records arrive.

Market Trends

Market temperature (0–100)How the 0 to 100 market score moved over time. It blends price growth, sales pace, how often homes change hands, and seller profits.Temperature
20162018201920212022202320252026
Sale pricesThe middle sale price each month, counting normal open-market sales. The average runs above the median when a few expensive sales pull it up. Bars show how many homes sold.MedianSales
20162018201920212022202320252026
Growth (year over year)How much prices and sales counts changed since the same time last year, using a 3-month average to smooth out noise. Above the dashed line means growth.PriceSales
20162018201920212022202320252026
Price per square footThe middle price per square foot, for sales where the size is known. It adjusts for homes being different sizes.$/ft²
20162018201920212022202320252026
Sale premium vs estimated valueHow sale prices compare with our estimated values at the time of sale. Above the dashed line, homes sold for more than the models expected — a sign of competitive bidding. Below it, buyers paid under model value.Premium
20162018201920212022202320252026
Annual turnover (share of homes sold)The share of all homes here that sold in the trailing 12 months. Higher turnover means a more liquid market where homes trade hands more often.Turnover
20162018201920212022202320252026
Buyer mixWho is buying. Cash means no mortgage was recorded, investor means the buyer looked like an investor, and flip means the home resold within a year.CashInvestorFlip resale
20162018201920212022202320252026
Financing (share of purchase price)For buyers who borrowed: the middle share of the price they financed, and the middle share they paid up front.Loan (LTV)Down payment
20162018201920212022202320252026
Sellers who sold at a gainThe share of sellers each month who sold for more than they originally paid.Sold at gain
20162018201920212022202320252026
Typical hold before sellingThe middle number of years sellers owned their home before selling.Median hold
20162018201920212022202320252026
Median annualized return at resaleThe middle yearly gain sellers earned, spread across the years they owned the home. Only counts homes held at least a year.Annualized gain
20162018201920212022202320252026
Preforeclosure filingsForeclosure notices filed each month. A rise can be an early sign that more owners are struggling. Auction stage counts the filings that reached a scheduled foreclosure auction.FilingsAuction stage
20162017201820192022202320252026

Housing Stock

HomesHow many homes we have records for in this area.4,346
Median value (AVM)The middle estimated value of all homes here, not just the ones that recently sold.$438K
Median sizeThe middle home size here, measured in square feet.2,210 ft²
Median bedroomsThe middle bedroom count for homes here.4
Median year builtThe middle build year for homes here. A recent year means most housing is newer.2005
Single familyThe share of homes here that are single-family houses.100%

Equity & Ownership

Equity rich (LTV ≤ 50%)The share of owners who owe half or less of what their home is worth, meaning they hold a lot of equity.49%
Underwater (LTV ≥ 125%)The share of owners who owe at least 25% more than their home is worth.1.3%
Owner occupiedThe share of homes lived in by their owner rather than rented out or left empty.73%
Company ownedThe share of homes owned by a company or trust instead of a person.25%
Median loan-to-valueThe middle share of home value still owed on loans across all owners here.51%
Typical ownership tenureHow long the typical owner here has held their home.9.2 yrs

CommunityThese are comparison scores, not percentages. 100 equals the national average, so 150 means about 50% above average.

CrimeLocal crime compared with the rest of the country, where 100 is average. It reflects things like population density, income, and how crime gets reported.34
Air pollutionOverall air pollution compared with the rest of the country, where 100 is average. Lower is cleaner.99
EarthquakeEarthquake risk and likely building damage compared with the rest of the country, where 100 is average. Scores can run far above 100.48

Index scale: 100 = US average (tick). Lower is better.

Homes occupiedThe share of homes here that someone lives in. The rest sit empty, including vacation and for-sale homes.96%
Bachelor's or higherThe share of adults 25 and older whose highest degree is a bachelor's degree.24%
Poverty rateThe share of people whose household income falls below the federal poverty line, which varies by family size.3.0%
UnemploymentThe share of men 16 and older who are out of work and actively looking. Only men are counted in this figure.1.0%
PopulationHow many people live in this area.14,580
DensityPeople per square mile. Higher numbers mean a more crowded, urban area.6,313 / mi²
Median household incomeThe middle household income here — half of households earn more, half earn less.$93K
Average household incomeThe average household income. It runs higher than the median when a few high earners pull it up.$118K
Average tempThe average temperature here across a full year.70°F
Annual precipHow much rain and melted snow falls here in a typical year.9 in
SunshineThe share of daylight hours that get direct sun in a typical year, counting cloud cover.86%

Market metrics are derived from recorded arms-length deeds and refreshed nightly. Temperature blends price momentum, sales velocity, turnover and resale outcomes, ranked against all sub-neighborhoods nationally.

How Surprise Farms compares

By median home value, Surprise Farms is the 157th most expensive of 236 neighborhoods in Maricopa County, and its typical home is worth more than 44% of all homes in Maricopa County.

Home values in Surprise Farms

Share of homes at each estimated value.

Median
$330K$738K
neighborhoods in Maricopa County ranked by median home value
#Maricopa CountyMedian valueHomes
1Estancia$4.9M229
2Pinnacle Peak Heights$4.5M113
3Country Club at DC Ranch$3.8M473
4Camelback Mountain$3.4M1,365
5Arcadia$2.9M2,233
6Storyrock$2.3M297
7Camelback Corridor$2.3M957
8Firerock$2M488
9DC Ranch$2M237
10Crestview$1.8M108
11Pinnacle Peak Country Club$1.8M435
12Desert Estates$1.6M552
13Citrus$1.5M638
14Biltmore$1.4M2,192
15Estate Groves & Valencia Estates$1.3M489
16North Central Corridor$1.2M3,250
17Lower Arcadia$1.1M2,088
18Santa Marguerita Citrus Groves$1M150
19Arabian Views$1M653
20Trilogy$985K1,113
21Northgrove$974K666
22Encanto / Palmcroft$925K506
23Lehi$920K508
24Arcadia Lite$911K3,446
157Surprise Farms$438K4,346

236 neighborhoods in Maricopa County are ranked; the most valuable are listed here.

About the Surprise Farms market

What is the median home price in Surprise Farms, AZ?

The median sale price in Surprise Farms, AZ is $414,667 (data through August 2026), based on deeds recorded with the county. That is up 3.9% from a year earlier.

How many homes sell in Surprise Farms, AZ each year?

190 homes sold in Surprise Farms, AZ over the last 12 months (data through August 2026). TopHap counts recorded arm's-length deeds, not listings, so the figure is not affected by which brokerage handled the sale.

Is Surprise Farms, AZ a buyer's or seller's market?

Surprise Farms, AZ is currently a seller's market, scoring 60 out of 100 on TopHap's market temperature index (data through August 2026). The score weighs sales velocity and price direction; above 60 favours sellers, below 40 favours buyers.

How many homes are there in Surprise Farms, AZ?

Surprise Farms, AZ contains 4,346 residential properties, with a median of 2,210 square feet, 4 bedrooms, built around 2005. The median TopHap Estimate is $438K.

How does Surprise Farms, AZ compare to the rest of Maricopa County?

By median home value, Surprise Farms, AZ is the 157th most expensive of 236 neighborhoods in Maricopa County. Its typical home is worth more than 44% of all homes in Maricopa County. The ranking is rebuilt nightly from the county assessor record of every home in each area.

Do people own or rent in Surprise Farms, AZ?

73% of homes in Surprise Farms, AZ are owner-occupied. 25% are held by a company rather than an individual.

How much equity do owners in Surprise Farms, AZ hold?

49% of mortgaged homes in Surprise Farms, AZ are equity-rich, meaning the loan balance is under half the home's value. 1.3% owe more than the home is worth.

Nearby markets

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