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Single Family ResidenceResidential
$1,680,000$380 / ft²
TopHap EstimateOur estimate of what this home would sell for today, based on nearby sales, the home's size and features, and local price trends. It is a starting point, not an appraisal.· confidence 94How well the pricing models agreed with each other on this home. Higher means the estimate rests on stronger, more consistent data.· as of Aug 30, 2026
Last sold for $100,000 on Sep 27, 2013

16511 GAINES RD

BROAD RUN, VA 20137
5
Beds
6 / 1
Baths
4,420 ft²
Living AreaTotal finished area of the structures, from county records. Some counties include shared space like hallways or a building gym, so it may not match a listing.
12.88 ac
Lot SizeThe size of the land the home sits on, from county records.
2017
Year BuiltThe year the home was originally built, according to county records.
2
StoriesHow many floors the home has above ground.

Valuation

$1.7M
$1.6M low$1.8M high
Last SaleThe most recent sale price and date from the recorded deed. Transfers between family members or companies may not reflect market value.$100,000 · Sep 27, 2013

Tax & Assessment

Property TaxThe property tax billed for this tax year. It usually pays for schools, roads, and local services.$12,110 (2024)
Assessed ValueThe value the county assigns to this home to calculate property tax. It is often lower than what the home would sell for.$1,324,600 (2025)
Assessed LandThe share of the county's assessed value that comes from the land itself, not the buildings.$443,700
Assessed ImprovementsThe share of the county's assessed value that comes from the buildings and other structures on the land.$880,900
Previous AssessedThe county's assessed value from the year before, useful for seeing how the assessment changed.$1,217,700
Assessor Market ValueThe county assessor's own opinion of market value. It is separate from our estimate and updates on the county's schedule.$1,324,600

Climate Risk

Overall riskThe average of the five hazard scores below, on a 0 to 100 scale. Higher means greater projected risk over the coming decades.62
96
FloodProjected flooding risk from rivers, heavy rain, and storm surge, scored 0 to 100. Higher is riskier.
23
WildfireProjected wildfire risk, scored 0 to 100, based on how much land burns in a typical year. Higher is riskier.
77
HeatProjected heat risk, scored 0 to 100, based on how many extremely hot days a year are expected. Higher is riskier.
88
StormProjected risk from heavy rainstorms, scored 0 to 100, based on how often extreme rainfall is expected. Higher is riskier.
29
DroughtProjected water shortage risk, scored 0 to 100. Higher means more strain on the local water supply.
Projected Flood DepthHow deep a serious flood is expected to get here at some point in the next 30 years. Shown in inches.88 in
30-Year Flood ChanceThe chance of at least one serious flood here in the next 30 years, not in any single year.51%
FEMA Flood ZoneFEMA's flood zone for this address. Zones starting with A or V are high risk, and lenders usually require flood insurance there.1 percent flood zone

Scores 0–100; higher = greater projected risk.

Property Facts

Property TypeThe broad category the county puts this property in, such as residential or commercial.Single Family Residence
CountyPrince William
Lot (acres)The size of the land the home sits on, from county records.12.88
HeatingThe type of heating system in the home.Forced Air
CoolingThe type of cooling or air conditioning in the home.Yes
FireplaceWhether the home has a fireplace, and what kind.Yes
GarageWhether the property has a garage, and details like whether it is attached to the home.Garage, Attached
PoolWhether the property has a pool, and what kind, such as in-ground.No
FeaturesExtra features found in county records. Records are not complete everywhere, so a missing feature does not always mean the home lacks it.Porch · 45 ft²

Transaction History(6)

Sales and refinances filed with the county for this home. Not every transfer is a normal sale, so check the type before comparing prices.

Assigned SchoolsThe public schools this address is zoned for. Boundaries change, so confirm with the district before you count on it.

M
Ronald Wilson Reagan Middle SchoolA
Middle · Grades 6–8 · 1.0 mi
E
Gravely Elementary SchoolA+
Elementary · Grades KG–5 · 2.3 mi
H
Battlefield High SchoolA
High · Grades 9–12 · 2.6 mi

District: Prince William County Public Schools

Neighborhood · ZIP 20137These are comparison scores, not percentages. 100 equals the national average, so 150 means about 50% above average.

CrimeLocal crime compared with the rest of the country, where 100 is average. It reflects things like population density, income, and how crime gets reported.61
Air pollutionOverall air pollution compared with the rest of the country, where 100 is average. Lower is cleaner.79
EarthquakeEarthquake risk and likely building damage compared with the rest of the country, where 100 is average. Scores can run far above 100.41

Index scale: 100 = US average (tick). Lower is better.

Homes occupiedThe share of homes here that someone lives in. The rest sit empty, including vacation and for-sale homes.96%
Bachelor's or higherThe share of adults 25 and older whose highest degree is a bachelor's degree.39%
Poverty rateThe share of people whose household income falls below the federal poverty line, which varies by family size.3.1%
UnemploymentThe share of men 16 and older who are out of work and actively looking. Only men are counted in this figure.0.9%
PopulationHow many people live in this area.3,560
DensityPeople per square mile. Higher numbers mean a more crowded, urban area.212 / mi²
Median incomeThe middle household income here — half of households earn more, half earn less.$162,483
Average incomeThe average household income. It runs higher than the median when a few high earners pull it up.$175,250
Average tempThe average temperature here across a full year.54°F
Annual precipHow much rain and melted snow falls here in a typical year.43 in
SunshineThe share of daylight hours that get direct sun in a typical year, counting cloud cover.63%

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Data by ATTOM. Valuations are automated estimates, not appraisals. Photos from Google Street View and may not depict the current property state.

How this home compares

16511 Gaines Rd measured against every home in its neighborhood, its ZIP code and its county, using county assessor records refreshed nightly. A home can stand out in one of those areas and look ordinary in another, because each one holds a different mix of homes.

  • Among the most valuable homes in Prince William County
  • Costs more per square foot than 83% of homes in Prince William County
  • Bigger than 97% of homes in Prince William County
  • Among the largest lots in Prince William County
  • Newer than 94% of homes in Prince William County

What homes are worth in Broad Run 20137

Each bar is how many homes fall in that price range. The marker is this home.

This home
$444K$1.6M

This home is worth more than 98% of homes in Broad Run 20137.

How it measures up in Broad Run 20137

The dot is this home. The mark in the middle is the typical home in Broad Run 20137.

Estimated value$1,680,000
CheaperTypical $831,879Pricier

Pricier than 98% of homes nearby

Price per ft²$380
CheaperTypical $352Pricier

Pricier than 63% of homes nearby

Living area4,420 ft²
SmallerTypical 2,396 ft²Bigger

Bigger than 95% of homes nearby

Lot size12.88 ac
SmallerTypical 4.07 acBigger

Bigger than 89% of homes nearby

Year built2017
OlderTypical 1985Newer

Newer than 90% of homes nearby

How 16511 Gaines Rd ranks against every home in each area.
MeasureThis homeBroad Run 20137Prince William County
Estimated valuepricier than$1,680,00098% of homesalmost all homes
Price per ft²pricier than$38063% of homes83% of homes
Living areabigger than4,420 ft²95% of homes97% of homes
Lot sizebigger than12.88 ac89% of homesalmost all homes
Year builtnewer than201790% of homes94% of homes

About 16511 Gaines Rd

How much is 16511 Gaines Rd, Broad Run, VA worth?

The TopHap Estimate for 16511 Gaines Rd, Broad Run, VA is $1,680,000 as of Aug 30, 2026. The likely range is $1,583,073 to $1,776,927. The estimate is modelled from recorded sales, assessments and the property's own characteristics — it is not an appraisal.

When did 16511 Gaines Rd, Broad Run, VA last sell?

16511 Gaines Rd, Broad Run, VA last sold on Sep 27, 2013 for $100,000, according to the county's recorded deed. TopHap holds 3 recorded sales for this parcel.

How big is 16511 Gaines Rd, Broad Run, VA?

16511 Gaines Rd, Broad Run, VA has 5 bedrooms, 6 bathrooms, 4,420 square feet of living space and a 12.88-acre lot.

When was 16511 Gaines Rd, Broad Run, VA built?

16511 Gaines Rd, Broad Run, VA was built in 2017, making it 9 years old. The building has 2 stories.

What schools serve 16511 Gaines Rd, Broad Run, VA?

16511 Gaines Rd, Broad Run, VA is assigned to Ronald Wilson Reagan Middle School (middle), rated A; Gravely Elementary School (elementary), rated A+; Battlefield High School (high), rated A. All sit in Prince William County Public Schools. Attendance boundaries change — confirm with the district before relying on an assignment.

How does 16511 Gaines Rd, Broad Run, VA compare to other homes in Broad Run 20137?

Among the 808 homes in Broad Run 20137, it is worth more than 98% of them ($1,680,000 against a typical $831,879), its price per square foot is higher than 63% of them ($380 against a typical $352), it is bigger than 95% of them (4,420 ft² against a typical 2,396 ft²), its lot is bigger than 89% of them (12.88 ac against a typical 4.07 ac) and it is newer than 90% of them (2017 against a typical 1985). Measured against all of Prince William County, it is worth more than almost all homes there. These shares are recounted nightly from the full county assessor record for each area, not from active listings.

What are the property taxes on 16511 Gaines Rd, Broad Run, VA?

The 2024 property tax bill for 16511 Gaines Rd, Broad Run, VA was $12,110. The county assessed it at $1,324,600.

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